thomas davison Party Leader
Joined: 03 Jun 2005 Posts: 4018 Location: northumberland
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Posted: Mon Dec 10, 2012 7:05 pm Post subject: 2/3RDS OF WORLD POPULATION LIVING IN CITIES BY 2030, FULL UP |
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How China and India will be more powerful that the U.S. by 2030: Study claims Asian cultures will supersede America and Europe in 20 years as global middle class grows
�Global Trends 2030 predicts that two-thirds of the world's population will live in cities by 2030
�Also said that China and India will overpower long-reigning U.S. and E.U.
�But also predicts competition for resources, including food, space, and water, will be fierce
�Global warming and climate change also major factors of future decades
By Daily Mail Reporter
PUBLISHED: 17:42, 10 December 2012 | UPDATED: 18:56, 10 December 2012
..Nearly two-thirds of the world's population will live in cities by 2030, with most people middle class, connected by technology, protected by advanced health care and linked by countries that work together, perhaps with the United States and China cooperating to lead the way.
That's the best case scenario in a report, Global Trends 2030, released Monday by the U.S. government's National Intelligence Council.
In the worst case scenarios, rising population leads to conflict over water and food, especially in the Mideast and Africa, and the instability contributes to global economic collapse.
Overpowering: By 2030, China and India will replace the US and EU in terms of power, a study claims
Growing: The harbour city of Shanghai has a population of over 18 million people; the report says that people will be competing for resources in 2030
Inevitability: The study predicts that China and India will hold the most power in coming years, while the US and EU have been on a steady decline
Consumption: By 2030, India and China's middle class will rise to become major consumers, taking more resources
The study is the intelligence community's analysis of where current trends will take the world in the next 15 to 20 years, intended to help policymakers plan for the best and worst possible futures to come.
The report is broken down into what the National Intelligence Council calls megatrends that are likely to occur and game-changers � the what-if's that are less certain but would be so significant that they can't be ignored.
Among the major trends: the rise of a global middle class that is better educated, connected via technology and healthier due to advances in medicine. Power will no longer reside with one or two key nations, but be spread across networks and coalitions of countries working together.
In countries where there are declining birth rates and an aging population like the U.S., economic growth may slow. Sixty percent of the world's population will live in cities.
Yet even with these advances, food, water and energy will be more scarce.
'Nearly half of the world's population will live in areas experiencing severe water stress,' the report said. Africa and the Middle East will be most at risk of food and water shortages, but China and India also vulnerable.
Among the anticipated crises is the worry of global economic collapse, fighting among nations that don't adapt rapidly enough to change and the possible spillover of instability in the Mideast and South Asia to the rest of the world.
Globalization: A new global trends report says that two-thirds of the world's population will be living in cities by 2030; here, China's most bustling seaside city, Shanghai, is seen
Planning ahead: The study is intended to help policymakers plan for the best and worst possible futures to come; New York City, pictured
Technology is seen as a potential savior to head off some of this conflict, boosting economic productivity to keep pockets filled despite rising population, rapid growth of cities and climate change.
The report outlines several 'Potential Worlds' for 2030.
Under the heading 'Stalled Engines', otherwise known as the 'most plausible worst-case scenario, the risks of interstate conflict increase,' the report said.
'The U.S. draws inward and globalization stalls.'
In the most plausible best-case outcome, called 'Fusion,' the report said, 'China and the U.S. collaborate on a range of issues, leading to broader global cooperation.'
And under another heading, the report describes a world where 'inequalities explode as some countries become big winners and others fail. ... Without completely disengaging, the U.S. is no longer the 'global policeman.''
Trending: India is part of a global trend that is advancing towards an increasing urbanization, according to which more than half of the world's population is living in towns and cities
Consumers: An Indian customer looks at a product on sale at a retail shop in Mumbai, India; the middle class in the country will grow exponentially by 2030 and will consume much of the world's goods
The report warns of the mostly catastrophic effect of possible 'Black Swans,' extraordinary events that can change the course of history.
These include a severe pandemic that could kill millions in a matter of months and more rapid climate change that could make it hard to feed the world's population.
Two positive events are also listed, including 'a democratic China or a reformed Iran,' which could bring more global stability.
One bright spot for the U.S. is energy independence.
'With shale gas, the U.S. will have sufficient natural gas to meet domestic needs and generate potential global exports for decades to come,' the report said.
..And our daft government wants to build homes on good quality agricultural land. We need to grow as much of our own food as we can.
..And end this immigration rubbish, we cannot feed the amount of people that live here now never mind in 2030, maybe that is why the government is killing off all the sick and old, NAZISM is alive and well in the UK. |
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